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The
Sharpe Allocator
offers a
different way of looking at allocations within a portfolio. The benefits of this tool are in its simplicity.
Because it is not a pure mathematical optimizer in the sense of the Efficient Frontier,
it often generates less extreme recommendations. It is based on the Sharpe Ratio, designed by noble prize winner Bill
Sharpe. The Sharpe Ratio is a
measure that provides a “score” indicating how a particular investment is
performing. The performance is measured
as a ratio of reward to risk, as follows:
Sharpe Ratio = (Annual
Return – RiskFreeRate) / (Annual Standard Deviation)
The higher the Sharpe Ratio, the better, since it means that
the investment is offering a high rate of return relative to its risk, as
measured by standard deviation, an indicator of volatility.
The Sharpe Allocator calculates
the past
Sharpe Ratio for each security in the portfolio and then sums these ratios
for a total score. The tool then weights
each security in proportion to its contribution to the total score. Let’s take an example. Suppose there are two securities in a
portfolio, A and B. Assume asset A has a
historical
Sharpe Ratio of 2.0, and asset B has a one of 4.0. The sum of Sharpe Ratios is then 6.0. The resulting asset weight for asset A will then be 33.3% (2.0/6.0), and the resulting weight for
asset B will then be 66.7% (4.0/6.0). So
the overall concept is very simple. The
higher the Sharpe Ratio for a particular asset, the higher its proportion will
be in the final portfolio.
Be aware that the Sharpe Allocator
does not consider correlations between assets, an important consideration in
portfolio diversification. And it does
not seek to maximize the overall portfolio Sharpe Ratio based on the total portfolio
return and volatility. So do not use
this tool in isolation. You should also
use the
Correlation Analysis
or the
Efficient Frontier,
since these tools provide a good idea of the level of diversification in your portfolio that will help to
reduce risk.
To use the Sharpe Allocator to analyze
a portfolio, perform the following steps:
- Select
the
Sharpe Allocator
tool.
- Add
your securities to the list of portfolios, either by selecting the
security in the asset selection tree, or by using the search feature. Select the “Add” button or “Remove”
button to add or remove each security from the list.
- Once
you have added the securities, select the “Next” button.
- Select
the time range to analyze historical data for the analysis. It is important to select a time range
long enough to provide a good representation of stock price movements
under different market conditions (up and down).
- Enter
the risk-free interest rate. This
is the rate it which you could invest your cash with no risk. The 10-year treasury rate is often used
here.
- If you
want to specify an allowed range for any individual security in the
portfolio, you can enter minimum and maximum allowed weights for any
specific security. If you specify
these, the tool will adjust its calculated theoretical optimal portfolio
(which may have weights outside your desired range) to fit within your
specified limits. The resulting
portfolio will be reported as the Adjusted Portfolio.
- Select
the “Calculate” button.
- At
this point, the tool will calculate the results which are reported in two
tables:
|
Name
|
Symbol
|
Expected Return (Er)
|
Standard Deviation (StDev)
|
Optimal Weight
|
Adjusted Weight
|
Sharpe Ratio
|
|
ISHARE
MSCI AUSTRIA
|
EWO
|
18.4 %
|
15.8 %
|
37.1 %
|
37.1 %
|
0.91
|
|
iShares S&P 500
|
IVV
|
10.1 %
|
6.8 %
|
35.7 %
|
35.7 %
|
0.87
|
|
Vanguard
Emerging Markets ETF
|
VWO
|
18.6 %
|
21.6 %
|
27.3 %
|
27.3 %
|
0.67
|
|
Metrics for Above
Portfolio Mixes
|
|
Name
|
Annual Return (Er)
|
Annual Standard
Deviation (StDev)
|
Sharpe Ratio
|
Er/StDev Ratio
|
|
Optimal
Portfolio
|
15.4 %
|
12.9 %
|
0.88
|
1.20
|
|
Adjusted
Portfolio
|
15.4 %
|
12.9 %
|
0.88
|
1.20
|
The first table shows each asset
in the portfolio and its characteristics, including:
·
Expected return – the expected annual return
based on the asset’s mean return over the historical time period you selected.
·
Standard deviation – the standard deviation of
the asset over the time period you selected.
·
Optimal Weight – the calculated weight of the
security based on its Sharpe Ratio contribution to the total sum of Sharpe
Ratios.
·
Adjusted Weight – the calculated weight of the
security that adjusts the optimal weight to fit within the allowable range
specified by you.
·
Sharpe Ratio – the Sharpe Ratio for each
security.
There are two portfolios
shown. The overall characteristics of
each portfolio are shown in the second table. This table shows the expected annual return and standard
deviation for each of the three portfolios.
It is important to study and understand the tables. Some key points to look for:
- Study
the optimal portfolio numbers in the first two tables. It will show you the recommended
weighting of each asset in your portfolio.
The recommended weighting is higher when the Sharpe Ratio is higher.
- Study
the adjusted portfolio numbers if you specified minimum/maximum allowed
weights. It will usually be much
more practical, since it conforms to your preferred range for each asset.
At this point, you may want to make adjustments to your
portfolio by going back to the first page of the Sharpe Allocator
and removing or adding assets to see how they contribute to your
portfolio. You can experiment with a
virtually unlimited variety of portfolios.
Be aware that the Sharpe Allocator
does not attempt to reduce the overall portfolio variability in any way since
it does not take into account correlations between individual securities. Therefore, do not use this tool in
isolation. You should also use the
Correlation Analysis
and
Efficient Frontier
on your security to see how the
results compare and to achieve better diversification.
Finally, be aware that all results of the Sharpe Allocator tool are based on past price
history behavior of each security, and that past history is often not an
indicator of future behavior. Market
conditions can change, as can managers of mutual funds and companies.
This is why it is important to select a time
period for analysis that you feel will be a good representation or model for
the future. It is also why
it is essential that you carefully research each individual security on its own
merits to understand its prospects for the future.
Once you are done building and analyzing your portfolio, you
can choose to save it if you wish. To do
this, select the “Save portfolio” button.
If you are not already logged-in, you will be prompted to log-in so that
the portfolio can be associated with your user-name. You can later reference this portfolio in
My Portfolios,
and track its history or perform further analysis in the
future.
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